Thursday, 10 July 2014

Super League Round 20 Preview

Round 20 sees Super League enter the final third of the season meaning the fight for the end of season play-offs and awards hots up and after some surprise results in the last few rounds every place is up for grabs.

Tonight sees a tasty tie between Wakefield and Widnes with the Wildcats surprise favourites given that they sit three places below their opponents.

Wakefield come into the game in superb form after a four game unbeaten run under new coach James Webster which includes wins over Wigan and last week’s narrow win over Leeds. The run of success has seen them even linked with a late charge for the play-off places and with only a gap of four points to the top eight, the dream is alive.

Widnes come into the game on a terrible run of form that has seen them win only once in five games with the solitary victory coming against basement boys London and after a loss to Challenge Cup last four opponents Castleford a week ago, confidence is pretty low.

Last season's meeting up in Yorkshire saw Wakefield secure a 24-14 as part of a league double over the Vikings and after a 24-18 win in this season's reverse meeting, there is the prospect of a league double for the Wildcats tonight which if completed would give them huge hope for the top eight.

Wakefield include Ali Lauitiiti in place of Max Jowitt with Matty Wildie and Chris Annakin replacing injured duo Pita Godinet and Daniel Smith while Widnes include Stefan Marsh in place of Cameron Phelps.


Wakefield- Mathers, Riley, Annakin, Keinhorst, Sykes, Lauitiiti, Anderson, McShane, Gilmour, Wildie, Washbrook, Ryan, Owen, Moore, T. Smith, Tautai, Lyne, Scruton, Raleigh.
Widnes- Ah Van, Allen, Brown, Cahill, Clarke, Dean, Flynn, Galea, Gerrard, Hanbury, Isa, Johnson, Joseph, Leuluai, Marsh, Mellor, Owens, Tickle, White.


Wakefield have won the last five meetings between the sides and I think they will make it six tonight so Wakefield 30 Widnes 22.

Friday night sees three fixtures with the televised match being a feisty Yorkshire derby between Castleford and Huddersfield with the Tigers looking to go top of the league.

Castleford despite their high position in the league are in mixed form with three wins from their last five but with the chance to move to the league's summit, confidence is high with a Challenge Cup semi-final next month.

Huddersfield despite a shock loss last week to Salford are in good form after a streak of four wins including triumphs over Wigan and Leeds and still have hopes of repeating last season's League Leaders Shield success but will be wary of Castleford's fine home record.

Last season's meeting at the Jungle saw the Giants secure a 40-24 win as part of a league double over the Tigers and after a tight 29-28 win in the meeting earlier this season, the prospect of a double is on the cards as well as a dent to the fortress that the Jungle has become.

Castleford make three changes from the win over Widnes with Frankie Mariano, Jake Webster and Liam Finn replacing Luke Dorn, Garreth Carvell and Michael Channing while Huddersfield bring in Antonio Kaufusi, Jake Connor, Kruise Leeming and Jack Miller in place of Scott Grix, David Faiumu, Jason Chan and talismanic captain Danny Brough.


Castleford-Sneyd, Dixon, Webster, Shenton, Carney, Ellis, Finn, Lynch, Clark, Huby, Holmes, Mariano, Millington, Jewitt, Wheeldon, Milner, Massey, Gibson, Clare.
Huddersfield -McGillvary, Cudjoe, Wardle, Robinson, Crabtree, Kopczak, Ferres, Bailey, Lawrence, Patrick, Ta'ai, Wood, Broughton, Kaufusi, Mullally, Johnson, Connor, Leeming, Miller.

A hard game to call but with the influential Brough missing for the Giants, I will tip Castleford so Castleford 32 Huddersfield 24.

St Helens host Bradford looking to retain top spot with the Bulls still harbouring hopes of surviving relegation to the Championship.

St Helens come into the game after a 40-10 humbling away to Hull KR which saw them continue a barren spell at Craven Park since 2007 and as a result saw the chasing pack close up on them as the race for the League Leaders Shield hots up.

Bradford come into the game in wretched form with just one win in their last five and after a superb performance against Catalan they suffered a late defeat by just two points as their hopes of avoiding relegation slip away.

Last season's meeting at Langtree Park saw Saints secure a 30-18 win as part of a league double over the Bulls and after the meeting earlier in the season resulted in a 50-0 thrashing in favour of St Helens so there is the potential not only for a league double but a 'nilling' double.

St Helens include fit-again Kyle Amor while Bradford include former Saints star Jamie Foster, Nathan Conroy and Alex Mellor while Lee Gaskell also faces his former side for the first time at Langtree Park

St Helens- Makinson, Turner, Jones, Swift, Hohaia, Masoe, Roby, McCarthy-Scarsbrook, Soliola, Wilkin, Manu, Flanagan, Amor, Wellens, Walmsley, Percival, Wheeler, Richards, Thompson.
Bradford - Blythe, Pitts, Olbison, Purtell, Gale, Williams, Donaldson, O'Brien, Mellor, Henry, Conroy, Arundel, Kearney, Foster, Addy, Gaskell, Sidlow, Manuokafoa, Fakir.

Both sides need wins for different reasons and will be keen to bounce back from last week but I see Saints coming out on top so St Helens 38 Bradford 12.

Leeds host Hull KR with the Robins looking for a second successive scalp while the Rhinos will look to avoid successive defeats to sides outside the top eight.

Leeds fell afoul of a resilient Wakefield side in the previous round and have been in mixed form with only two wins in the last five games but still sit second in the table and with a good record over the Robins having won four of the last five meetings.

Hull KR go into the game in similar form to their opponents with two wins in their last five games but with two wins in their last three with last weekend's stunning win over league leaders St Helens improving their hopes of a play in the end of season play-offs.

Last season's meeting at Headingley saw the Robins stage a surprise with a 12-16 win but when the sides met earlier this season in fact in the opening round, Leeds secured a perfect start with a 34-6 win and would be glad of a repeat to complete a double over the Robins.

Leeds include Rob Mulhern, Mitch Achurch with Kevin Sinfield, Rob Burrow and Carl Ablett all returning after long absences while Hull KR recall Neville Costigan and Liam Salter in place of Jordan Cox and Sonny Esslemont. 

Leeds - Jones-Bishop, Watkins, Moon, Hall, McGuire, Burrow, Aiton, Peacock, Ablett, Sinfield, S. Ward, Delaney, Bailey, Achurch, T. Briscoe, Sutcliffe, Minchella, Mulhern, Walters.
Hull KR- Burns, Carlile, Caro, Costigan, Eden, Green, Hall, D. Hodgson, J. Hodgson, Horne, Keating, Larroyer, Lovegrove, Netherton, Ollett, Salter, A. Walker, Welham, Weyman.

This could be a real cracker and I will stick my neck out and say Leeds 20 Hull KR 22.

Saturday features two evening kick-offs with the first seeing the third meeting of 2014 between Salford and Hull FC after two superb games in league and cup earlier this season.

Salford go into the game in mixed form with two wins in their last five games with the last coming in round 19 when they shocked Huddersfield in a 10-36 win and with new signings Kevin Locke and Mason Caton-Brown having scoring debuts, the future looks brighter than their position in the table suggests.

Hull alike their hosts have two wins in their last five games and still harbour hopes of claiming a place in the top eight with the try scoring form of Callum Lancaster a huge boost after a mixed start to the season.  The signings of Marc Sneyd and Leon Pryce for next year give the Airlie Birds confidence that the future is bright.

Last season's meeting at the AJ Bell stadium saw Hull win 18-24 as part of a league double over the then named Red Devils and the reverse meeting earlier this season saw the Black and White stroll to a 30-8 win. However, Salford won the most recent meeting between the two as they secured a 36-37 win in the Challenge Cup after the game went into golden point at 36 all.

Salford retain both new signings after stellar debuts while Hull include Jordan Rankin, Tom Lineham and Chris Green in place of Gareth Ellis, Chris Tuson and Richard Whiting.

Salford -Ashurst, Caton-Brown, Chase, Evalds, Fages, D.Griffin, J.Griffin, Hansen, Hock, Johnson, Lee, Locke, Morley, Puletua, Rapira, Sau, Tomkins, Walne, Walton.
Hull FC- Abdull, Bowden, Green, Hadley, Heremaia, Horne, Houghton, Lancaster, Lineham, Paea, Paleaaesina, Rankin, Sa, Shaul, Talanoa, Thompson, Watts, Westerman, Yeaman.

A hard one to call on form but I think Salford to edge a win so Salford 25 Hull 22.

The second game of the evening sees champions Wigan make the long trip to Perpignan to face Catalan who have been near unbeatable at home this season.
Catalan go into the game in good form with three wins and a draw in five games with the only loss being a last-gasp defeat away to Leeds in round 18. It is the superb home form of the Dragons that has put them within touching distance of the top six having lost only one home tie in 2014 when Leeds humbled them early in the campaign.

Wigan make their second long trip in a week after the trip to London where they thrashed a poor Broncos outfit 6-58 and have three wins in their last five with back-to-back defeats to Wakefield and St Helens the only negatives. The Warriors have been one of few teams to defeat Catalan on French soil be it in Perpignan or the special trips to Montpellier and if results go their way could move to the league's summit.

Last season's meeting in France saw a much changed Wigan side lose 22-8 to the Dragons just a week before their Challenge Cup final triumph at Wembley and in this season's reverse meeting, Wigan needed a stunning try from Matt Bowen to secure a 22-16 win that puts them on target for a first league double over the Dragons since 2012.

Catalan name an unchanged 19 from the win over Bradford while Wigan welcome back captain Sean O'Loughlin in place of the suspended Gil Dudson and Dom Manfredi replaces Lewis Tierney.

Catalan-Escaré, Pryce, Pomeroy, Oldfield, Elima, Henderson, Lima, Taia, Anderson, Mounis, Pelissier, Whitehead, Millard, Bousquet, Baitieri, Duport, Cardace, Garcia, Williams.
Wigan-John Bateman, Matt Bowen, Joe Burgess, Greg Burke, Josh Charnley, Tony Clubb, Dom Crosby, Liam Farrell, Anthony Gelling, Jack Hughes, Jordan James, Dom Manfredi, Sean O'Loughlin, Eddy Pettybourne, Sam Powell, Dan Sarginson, Matty Smith, Scott Taylor, George Williams.

Discussions last week suggested I would go against Wigan for a change but the late kick-off suggests mild weather so will tip Wigan just so Catalan 20 Wigan 26.

Sunday afternoon sees Warrington host London with the sides at polar opposites when it comes to recent form.

Warrington come into the game with the best form in the league with a current run of eight consecutive wins that has seen them move into contention for a top-four place and has boosted their chances of a second League Leaders Shield in four years.

London face the in-form Wolves in what can only be described as unbelievably horrific form with not a single win in 2014 and 19 losses in a row. They have had some close calls for a win but last week's demolition at home to Wigan ruined all of the previous hard work. A miracle is needed to avoid relegation and would surely be dubbed the biggest turnaround of all time should they complete such a task.

Last season's meeting at the HJ stadium saw London lose 54-20 as part of a league double that included a 10-82 loss in the home meeting. This season's reverse meeting saw them lose 16-44 in a game that many will remember well after the Broncos led at half-time before capitulating in a poor second half.

One past meeting between the sides that springs to mind was when London thrashed Warrington 62-18 at the back end of the 2012 season, a repeat of which would not only stun the Rugby League world but would be the worst possible end to a winning run, I could ever think of.

There could be a surprise but I feel Warrington will come out on top so Warrington 42 London 12.



 

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